S5E01 podcast: on the eve of Hunting Season we apply the betting microscope to the new season awards season
Beneath the bombast of Baby Reindeer, Shogun and The Bear for the 76th Primetime Emmy Awards, there are strong challengers at bigger than they should be odds.
Plus, we examine the prospects of Conclave and Nickel Boys before the opening of fall film festivals globally.
Early 2025 Oscars picks
Right now, I like Blitz for Picture and Actress. Saoirse Ronan has such an impressive CV behind her. She’s not overdue, but her work is continuously stellar, she makes great choices, and, like always, you never bet against the Holocaust.
Several other old master contenders should be thereabouts on Oscars Sunday.
The Zone of Betting Introspection: Max Renn’s awards season review (part 3)
Even though Giamatti and Gladstone did not salute, applying probabilistic thinking and the pursuit of value should be the rationale for entertainment awards betting.
The Zone of Betting Introspection: 10 powerful betting lessons (part 2)
Before sliding into his off season slippers, The Professor pulls out the rubber glove for a probe into the entertainment awards betting season that was.
The Zone of Betting Introspection: what worked, what didn’t during the awards season of 2024 (part 1)
On the psychology couch, betting analyst Tony Coca-Cola self-diagnoses what he needs to start, stop and continue doing in preparation for the next awards season
S4E09 podcast: the betting lab closes on Oscars 2024 with final predictions and profit making opportunities
Across 23 Academy Awards categories, we predict the winners and open the betting kimono on every single bet.
Also in this episode: a review of all five contenders in Best Live Action Short.
Picture credit: Claire Folger
Top 5 Oscars pundits from the last 5 years
Who is the top performing pundit, the ultimate soothsayer in the mystical multiverse of Academy Awards predictions?
Picture credit: IndieWire
S4E08 podcast: a fill up of 10 craft betting Oscars angles
All five Academy Awards contenders for Documentary Short are put under the betting microscope, plus divided opinion presents opportunity across the craft categories.
We review American Fiction and The Zone of Interest, and discuss the ramifications of the Screen Actor Guild Awards for the prospects of Cillian Murphy, Paul Giamatti, Emma Stone and Lily Gladstone.
Picture credit Breakwater Studios
Poor Barbie: a contrarian Production Design bet for the Oscars plus juicy odds at the Screen Actors Guild Awards
A strong BAFTAs by Poor Things illuminates a SAG and Oscars betting angle.
Picture credit: Searchlight Pictures
Treasures in the trash: 5 betting gems on the 2024 Golden Raspberry Awards
At the Academy Awards, a bread and butter statistical correlation that our team of analysts apply is using Best Picture as the base upon which acting wins will historically win.
Does the same methodology apply to the Razzies?