Podcast S3 E12 2023 - betting review for 2023 BAFTA, SAG, DGA and PGA, plus Oscars best bets
All signs point towards Everything Everywhere domination, however, there are still sharp betting angles and profits to be had at the 2023 Academy Awards.
For best bets, play below, download, or or find it on all podcast platforms.
Best bets
The Professor
95th Academy Awards - Best Film Editing - Top Gun: Maverick
We return to my previous best bets for this category.
Betting against the momentum of Everything Everywhere All at Once has not paid off this awards season, however, the marvel of Maverick’s technical achievements will not be denied.
This is a medium level conviction play.
$2.50 TAB - Top Gun: Maverick
95th Academy Awards - Best Make-Up & Hairstyling and Best Actor
Conviction is high that for both categories in Best Make-Up & Hairstyling and Best Actor, it’s a double win scenario for Elvis or The Whale.
We’ve seen one follow the other in recent years.
In 2018, it was Darkest Hour delivering Oscar wins for Gary Oldman and Best Make-Up & Hairstyling. And the Academy Awards similarly bestowed acting and make up prizes in 2022 for The Eyes of Tammy Faye.
The Best Actor race between Brendan Fraser and Austin Butler is tight and the odds are accurately priced. But when juiced up with Best Make-Up & Hairstyling odds, it’s an irresistible play that can be executed with supreme confidence.
Only available on TAB.
$3.19 TAB - Austin Butler (Best Actor) and Elvis (Best Make-Up & Hairstyling)
$4.16 TAB - Brendan Fraser (Best Actor) and The Whale (Best Make-Up & Hairstyling)
Max Renn
95th Academy Awards - Best Make-Up & Hairstyling and Best Actor - The Whale
I’m also on for this multibet double, but will be hitching the betting wagon only on the magnificence of the make up in The Whale.
High conviction.
$4.16 TAB - Brendan Fraser (Best Actor) and The Whale (Best Make-Up & Hairstyling)
95th Academy Awards - Best Documentary Feature - All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
The price is too big for All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, and the price is too short for current Best Documentary favourite Navalny.
Medium conviction.
$5.50 Sportsbet - All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
43rd Golden Raspberry Awards - Worst Film - Blonde
It gives me no joy in this betting recommendation, for a film that was one of my favourites in 2022.
Nevertheless, the hatred for Blonde can be backed with strong conviction.
$1.90 Sportsbet - Blonde
Tony Coca-Cola
95th Academy Awards - Best Actor - Austin Butler
The BAFTA statistic in which 9 of the last 10 Best Actor wins have proceeded to Oscar glory in the same category is undeniable.
Twelve of the last thirteen years have seen the Best Actor winner correlate with a Best Picture nomination. Elvis is Best Picture nominated, The Whale is not.
$2.37 Bet365 - Austin Butler
95th Academy Awards - Best Supporting Actress
The prices are big enough across three contenders across three different bookmakers to enable a profitable outcome.
It will definitely be one of these three.
$2.40 Sportsbet - Angela Bassett
$3.25 Bet365 - Kerry Condon
$4.25 Neds or Ladbrokes - Jamie Lee Curtis
95th Academy Awards - Best Adapted Screenplay - Women Talking
Most other bookmakers have Women Talking at $1.50.
Sportsbet are offering a great price.
$1.63 Sportsbet - Women Talking
95th Academy Awards - Best Costume Design - Elvis
I expect Catherine Martin to win another Oscar here.
$2.00 Neds or Ladbrokes - Elvis
95th Academy Awards - Best Documentary Short Film - Haulout
If Haulout is watched by Academy Awards voters, confidence is strong that it wins.
$5.00 Neds or Ladbrokes - Haulout
95th Academy Awards - Best Live Action Short Film - The Red Suitcase
Of the five contenders for Best Live Action Short Film, The Red Suitcase is the most gripping. I like this price.
$7.00 Tabtouch or Unibet - The Red Suitcase
95th Academy Awards - Best Animated Short Film - My Year of Dicks
This is a play against the favourite The Boy, The Mole, The Fox and the Horse.
$10.00 Sportsbet - My Year of Dicks