2025 Oscars Best Actress Odds – Is Mikey Madison a Strong Contender?

Looking for Oscars 2025 Best Actress predictions? See why Mikey Madison, star of Anora, is shaking up the Oscar odds. Get the latest betting insights and expert analysis on Oscars betting in America.

As the Oscars 2025 race heats up, all eyes are on the Best Actress category. One unexpected name shaking up the Oscars odds for Best Actress is Mikey Madison for her role in Anora. Could she defy expectations and become a frontrunner?

Oscars Betting Predictions: Where Does Mikey Madison Stand?

Madison’s performance has generated significant buzz, and the Oscar odds 2025 reflect her rising chances. With major award wins often influencing the Academy’s decision, bettors are closely watching her momentum.

For those involved in Oscars betting America, Madison represents an intriguing pick. Her role in Anora has received praise, and her odds could shorten as the season progresses.

Breaking Down the 2025 Oscar Predictions

The Oscar predictions 2025 landscape is competitive, with seasoned actresses and newcomers vying for a spot. While early favorites often dominate, surprises like Madison can upend expectations. Keeping track of Oscars odds Best Actress markets can provide valuable insights for bettors and film enthusiasts alike.

As the season unfolds, stay tuned for updates on Oscars betting predictions and how the race for Best Actress is shaping up.

#1 Take the edge

By my calculations, Madison is at least a 65% win probability or $1.53 or -187.5 for Best Actress at the 2025 Academy Awards. Currently offered at $1.62 by Bet365, there’s a small edge in betting favour.

#2 A new face in a weak(er) field

In previous Oscars years, Best Actress has been a shootout. Think Blanchett v Yeoh and Stone v Gladstone. This year, however, there is a clear frontrunner, with arguably a weaker field and a large gap between top spot (Madison) and the also contenders.

Madison's fresh, unknown status augur well for her Oscar win chances.

#3 Back Baker’s track record

Sean Baker has an incredible track record of casting and directing actors to deliver outstanding performances. His ability to elevate talent strengthens Madison’s case.

#4 Back the performance

The character of Anora is complex, allowing Madison to showcase her performative intelligence and emotional range.

You absolutely buy Madison as the character. At no point in the film do you not think she is Anora. For instance, the subtlety of her use of the Russian language adds to the authenticity.

The film is structured in a way that makes the audience deeply empathetic toward Anora, further elevating Madison’s Oscar chances.

#5 Back the last impression of the final scene

The nature of the film's final scene and Madison’s performance in it are particularly special. This lasting impression will leave Oscar voters with an indelible memory of both the film’s emotional complexity and its central character.