Betting on the Razzies 2025: Odds, Predictions & Top Picks for Worst Actor and Supporting Actress
The 45th Golden Raspberry Awards are just around the corner, and if you're into betting on the Razzies, now’s the time to dive into the odds and trends for this year’s top contenders.
Best bets
The Professor
45th Golden Raspberry Awards - Worst Actor – Dennis Quaid & Joaquin Phoenix
Who is leading the Razzies race for this prestigious prize?
When it comes to Razzies betting, history often repeats itself. Over the past 10 years, 8 out of 10 Worst Actor winners were tied to films that also landed a Worst Picture nomination.
This key trend narrows down the betting field. Despite being the bookmaker’s favorite, Jerry Seinfeld (Unfrosted) missed out on a Worst Picture nod, reducing his win probability and bet. The same logic excludes Zachary Levi (Harold and the Purple Crayon) and Jack Black (Dear Santa).
That leaves two strong contenders for Worst Actor. If you’re planning on betting on the Razzies, these two align perfectly with the historical patterns.
Dennis Quaid - $3.25 Sportsbet
Joaquin Phoenix - $4.00 Sportsbet
45th Golden Raspberry Awards - Worst Supporting Actress – Lesley-Anne Down & Emma Roberts
The correlation between Worst Picture nominations and winners extends to the Worst Supporting Actress category, with 80% of the last decade’s winners coming from films also up for Worst Picture.
Ariana DeBose (Argylle, Kraven the Hunter) might be a bookmaker favorite, but with neither film getting a Worst Picture nomination, she’s likely not the safest bet. Amy Schumer (Unfrosted) and FKA Twigs (The Crow) face the same issue.
Lesley-Anne Down - $2.75 Sportsbet
Emma Roberts - $4.50 Sportsbet
Razzies Betting Tips – How to Pick the Worst of the Worst
If you’re serious about betting on the Razzies, remember these tips:
Follow the Worst Picture Correlation – History shows that winners often come from films also nominated for Worst Picture.
Don’t Trust the Favorites Blindly – Bookmakers might have their picks, but aligning your bets with award trends gives you a better edge.
Look for Consistency in Criticism – Actors in widely panned films are more likely to "win" a Razzie. The badness of Madame Web, for example, went viral and should result in wins for Dakota Johnson and the team involved.
So, who will take home the (dis)honors? Place your bets wisely!
31st Screen Actors Guild Awards - Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series – Kathy Bates
There’s support for the veteran actress, with odds and win probability underestimated by the market.
Kathy Bates - $3.75 Sportsbet
31st Screen Actors Guild Awards - Best Actor – Adrien Brody
Odds are too big here, for a strong challenger with a 60% win probability.
Chalamet’s campaign for Best Actor has not landed a punch, and is likely to miss again here.
Medium to high conviction.
$1.83 Bet365